inside politics

Analysis of and commentary on South African politics.
20 February 2026

Election 2026/7 [13] How many votes the DA needs for 50% in JHB [Part II]


This is the second in a two part series. Here I will outline the most plausible scenarios for the DA to obtain 50% in Johannesburg, using the method and tools set out in Part 1.

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20 February 2026

Election 2026/7 [12] How many votes the DA needs for 50% in JHB [Part I]


This is the first in a two part series, that sets out the methodological ground work for Part II. Here I will establish the numbers and method used to generate plausible 50% scenarios for the DA in Johannesburg. In Part II, I will focus on the outcomes of this process.

Read the rest of this entry »
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