Herman Mashaba says he believes ASA will win half the wards in Soweto outright. This analysis is designed to see what that would take in real terms, by isolating those wards that comprise Soweto, and comparing the results there between the 2016 and 2021 local elections, before determining what that all means for ASA’s potential.
Read the rest of this entry »This is the second in a two part series. Here I will outline the most plausible scenarios for the DA to obtain 50% in Johannesburg, using the method and tools set out in Part 1.
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Thread: “The Action South Africa bullshit monster” This thread looks at Herman Mashaba’s spin on ASA’s 2021 election results, explains his hostility towards market research, and sets out how the media have uncritically facilitated his deceit.
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