inside politics

Analysis of and commentary on South African politics.
1 January 2024

Election 2024 [1]: Why turnout is critical and its relationship to the ANC’s vote share


A thread: “Why turnout is such a critical factor” The following thread looks at turnout and its relationship to the ANC’s vote share, which I think is a critical factor ahead of the 2024 election, and not properly thought about.

Read the rest of this entry »
Leave a comment
1 January 2024

Election 2024 [2]: Why Gauteng is so important to the ANC


A thread: “Why Gauteng is so important to the ANC”. The following thread looks how central Gauteng is to the ANC’s 2024 national electoral prospects, and maps how dire the situation looks for the party provincially (with nice graphs!).

Read the rest of this entry »
Leave a comment